Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.587855e-01 3.512170e-01 0.459607 0.593985 0.753988 0.936361 1.157849
2025-12-28 1.388753e-01 2.451184e-01 0.391308 0.597239 0.869938 1.209196 1.653293
2026-01-04 7.192882e-02 1.719538e-01 0.335035 0.594191 0.970250 1.472026 2.167062
2026-01-11 3.283579e-02 1.152098e-01 0.278165 0.570665 1.032698 1.687953 2.639192
2026-01-18 1.375805e-02 7.814430e-02 0.235682 0.553921 1.096258 1.906122 3.127530
2026-01-25 5.551234e-03 5.628499e-02 0.210448 0.556916 1.186209 2.165566 3.686940
2026-02-01 1.408461e-03 3.654552e-02 0.177309 0.534022 1.226740 2.350552 4.147548
2026-02-08 3.888845e-04 2.856006e-02 0.169541 0.559066 1.350555 2.669945 4.818975
2026-02-15 3.032914e-05 2.008789e-02 0.153331 0.560308 1.429509 2.921059 5.397952
2026-02-22 8.371673e-07 1.726553e-02 0.155544 0.604853 1.593091 3.317448 6.212521
2026-03-01 NaN 1.366800e-02 0.151200 0.631556 1.723665 3.664751 6.962998
2026-03-08 NaN 9.755852e-03 0.140573 0.638630 1.814808 3.949057 7.624009
2026-03-15 NaN 5.960326e-03 0.124213 0.626149 1.866851 4.173521 8.206811
2026-03-22 NaN 4.044397e-03 0.116693 0.637607 1.970234 4.492456 8.952046
2026-03-29 NaN 2.451247e-03 0.106865 0.638582 2.050344 4.773383 9.644532
2026-04-05 NaN 1.102569e-03 0.091736 0.615911 2.074366 4.953744 10.178049
2026-04-12 NaN 4.316698e-04 0.079755 0.599290 2.109322 5.154306 10.749695
2026-04-19 NaN 1.801122e-04 0.073623 0.603002 2.192259 5.446666 11.481682
2026-04-26 NaN 2.644672e-05 0.062216 0.579049 2.204338 5.605162 11.992044
2026-05-03 NaN 9.210163e-06 0.061953 0.605701 2.345594 6.015271 12.938978
2026-05-10 NaN 2.186698e-07 0.056871 0.607090 2.421939 6.302563 13.682467
2026-05-17 NaN 7.485025e-08 0.060512 0.654243 2.621114 6.834968 14.857527
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.060534 0.682481 2.772090 7.277141 15.885066